Archive

June 26th, 2016

Money for nothing

    By an overwhelming 3-to-1 margin, Swiss voters have rejected a proposal that would have guaranteed all residents a monthly income, whether they worked or not. Yet supporters of the concept elsewhere are not taking the Swiss "no" for an answer.

    Frequently proposed in the past, guaranteed income for all is back in vogue because of fears that robots and artificial intelligence threaten whole categories of jobs, especially for less skilled workers, and that any remaining jobs will be unstable "gigs." Mass poverty and inequality loom.

    Economists' usual prescription is greater investment in education and training, to equip people for high-paying work. The guaranteed-income movement says it's smarter and simpler to separate subsistence from labor.

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Hair-trigger alert

    I feel the finger on the trigger. I also feel it on the button.

    "Dear President Obama," the letter begins. It goes on to remind him of something he said in his 2008 presidential campaign: "Keeping nuclear weapons ready to launch on a moment's notice is a dangerous relic of the Cold War. Such policies increase the risk of catastrophic accidents or miscalculation."

    The letter, from the Union of Concerned Scientists, is signed by 90 scientists, including 20 Nobel laureates. It continues: "After your election, you called for taking 'our nuclear weapons off hair-trigger alert.'"

    Presidential campaigns, mass killings, war . . . nuclear war. Washington, we have a problem.

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Democrats' sit-in is a justified act of civil disobedience

    Sometimes civil disobedience is justified. Sometimes it is necessary. The unprecedented events playing out on the House floor -- Democratic members staging a sit-in in the well of their own chamber - represent such a moment.

    The immediate, and understandable, precipitating events were the massacre in Orlando and the refusal of House Republican leaders to permit a vote on a measure to try to keep lethal weapons out of the hands of possible terrorists and others whose past behavior and mental state mirror the profile of the mass murderers who have made the United States the citadel of gun violence.

    But the underlying cause for the revolt runs far deeper. Partisan polarization and intense competition for control of Congress have ushered in a ruthless stewardship of the first branch of government, motivated mostly to kill bills and avoid votes, all in the quest to retain or gain majority control. Regular order did not carry the day in the House, but then regular order has not been in evidence in the House or Senate for many years.

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Will Trump Last The Election?

    An ordinary sociopath would have known to pretend shock and sorrow after the terrible mass murders in Orlando. Shielded from ordinary human interaction by his arrogance and wealth, however, presumptive GOP nominee Donald Trump had no clue how to act. So he sent out an instinctive, self-serving reaction on Twitter:

    "Appreciate the congrats for being right on radical Islamic terrorism, I don't want congrats, I want toughness & vigilance. We must be smart!"

    Meghan McCain, Arizona Sen. John McCain's daughter, reacted incredulously: "You're congratulating yourself because 50 people are dead this morning in a horrific tragedy?"

    Even more pointed was GOP consultant and TV talking head Ana Navarro: "Translating Trump: '20 people (sic) are dead. 42 people are injured. But of course, 1st, it's all about Me. Me. Me.' Ugh."

    Both women spoke for millions. Is there no tragedy so grave, no sorrow so profound, that it can penetrate the hardened carapace of Donald Trump's ego?

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What the Russian hackers who attacked the DNC don't get about 'oppo research'

    Last week, The Washington Post broke the news that for the better part of the past year, Russian hackers have been in and out of the Democratic National Committee's computer servers, targeting the opposition research that the party has developed to use against presumptive Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump.

    Why were Russians looking in the DNC's oppo files, and did they get what they were looking for? Probably not the 211-page document most of the media has been digging though since Gawker published it on Wednesday. That looks like a traditional and fairly basic "book" that political researchers like me prepare for non-researchers. (And judging by the relatively slim length and December date, it's probably a preliminary glance.) It gives campaign leaders a window into what public information is out there and what themes and narratives have been out on Trump before. It's the CliffsNotes to the research, not the research itself. Most likely, what the Russians were after is something much bigger. But what they did find was a lot of information they could have gotten elsewhere in the public domain, legally.

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Welcome to Half Dome, Sponsored by Nike

    Imagine painstakingly making up your way up the cables of Yosemite National Park’s famous Half Dome peak — only to see swooshes and slogans encouraging you to “Just Do It.”

    “Welcome to Half Dome,” a gleaming banner greets you, “sponsored by Nike.”

    Unfortunately, it’s a possibility. As the coverage swells over Barack and Michelle Obama’s recent visit to Yosemite and Carlsbad Caverns, Americans are learning that national parks will now start selling naming rights.

    The parks are facing a hefty budget shortfall, so they’re turning to corporations — who are apparently more generous with cash than the current Congress.

    Truly, this is a bummer.

    We go to national parks to escape the commercialism of modern life. Nothing is more spectacular than enjoying the beauty of a waterfall or the sunset over the mountains, or the magnificence of wild grizzly bears, wolves, and bison that one rarely sees outside of a national park.

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June 25th

Hillary Gossip Redux

    I am so excited to tell you that we’re returning to the question of whether or not Hillary Clinton threw a vase at her husband in the White House.

    Really, this one hasn’t come up for about 20 years. But Gary Byrne says he saw the pieces! In a box! Byrne is a former Secret Service officer who has written a tell-all book, “Crisis of Character,” about the (horrible/embarrassing/appalling) things he purportedly witnessed during the Bill Clinton presidency.

    It’s coming out next week to what’s supposed to be a big rollout in the conservative media. Donald Trump has been twittering about it, and he quoted from it in his speech Wednesday. (That was the speech in which the new, measured Trump said Clinton “may be the most corrupt person ever to seek the presidency,” whose “decisions spread death, destruction and terrorism everywhere she touched.”)

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Trumponomics is scarier when you actually study it

    Hillary Clinton is trying to scare the heck out of voters who think Donald Trump's business record qualifies him to be president. He has no real economic strategy beyond over-the-top promises, she said on Tuesday, and the few ideas he offers would cause millions of Americans to lose their jobs. "Just like he shouldn't have his finger on the button, he shouldn't have his hands on our economy," Clinton said.

    Well, OK, what did you expect her to say? There's a campaign going on! What happens when you ask some politically neutral economists to look at the U.S. economy under a President Trump? You get something titled "Macroeconomic Consequences of Mr. Trump's Economic Policies." Laid side-by-side with Clinton's partisan assessment, it's even scarier.

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Trump squanders the post-primary breathing spell

    In presidential election years, the time between the state party primaries and the national political conventions usually is an opportunity for the presumptive nominees to take stock and gear up for the fall campaign. But so far Donald Trump has squandered the interlude with antics and remarks that can only be described as thoroughly self-destructive.

    Not only has he continued insulting his political foes in the Democratic Party and disparaged a federal judge presiding over a civil suit against his defunct Trump University. He has also turned on fellow Republicans who dare to show reluctance to accept his capture of the Republican presidential nomination and the party itself.

    Trump has mocked intraparty chatter about trying to change rules at the national convention next month to free delegates from pledges to support him on the first ballot, saying he will in the nomination with or without them.

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There’s No More Denying It: Trump Is Openly Racist

    This year’s freakish presidential election has now devolved into an ethnic brouhaha between two foreigners: A Mexican and a German.

    The “Mexican” is Gonzalo Curiel, a U.S. federal judge who was born, raised, and educated in Indiana. The “German” is Donald Drumpf — also known as Donald Trump, the Republican nominee for president.

    Drumpf has two fraud cases against him in Judge Curiel’s court, leading the GOP standard bearer to become unhinged over the idea that a “foreigner” would be allowed to pass judgment on an upstanding American citizen like him.

    “He’s a Mexican,” The Donald has complained about the jurist — who happens to be a full-blooded American citizen.

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